11:00 #5 Texas at #1 Oklahoma ABC

It’s that time of year again.  The Horns are riding Will Muschamp like a show pony.  He recently said that stats are for losers.  I couldn’t agree with him more.  Here are some stats that are going to determine the “losers” of this game. 

38.    The difference between OU’s Pass efficiency (1) and Texas Pass Efficiency D (39). 

2.4    Points better in Scoring Defense that UT (11.4 ppg) is than OU (13.8 ppg).

93     places between Texas net punting (5) and OU’s punt returns (98) 

76     rushing yard per game by running backs other than Colt McCoy

If Texas is brave enough to try the TCU approach and load the box to prevent the run, there is no way their 96th ranked pass defense stops the deep ball.  If they play it honest and run cover 2, they will die a slow painful death of Chris Brown for 7 yards and underneath routes.  Either way they will be man handled by OU’s line. 

When the horns have the ball, the key will be 7-12 yd routes, Defensive Ends staying at home and sound tackling. Colt McCoy will gore OU like the wounded steer that he is if OU’s D ends don’t stay at home and as deep as the deepest back, looking in.  The horns will get some decent catches on 2nd and 3rd and short because OU’s corners are a little too slow out of the turn.  That 7-12 yard window in man coverage will be open if Colt can hit it.  From there it’s just a matter of sure tackling and not giving up the big one. 

 Sooners are giving 6.5 in Texas.  I’ll give up those points.  Sooners win by 9.

 7:00 #17 Oklahoma State at #3 Missouri

The Pokes have put together quite an impressive resume while playing against air most of the season.  And how Mizzou is 5-0 with a 83rd ranked D and 114th ranked pass D astounds me.  They haven’t played as accurate of a passer as Robinson so far.  OSU and Mizzou will both get their points.  OSU needs to stay in front of the chains with their run game and Mizzou needs to load the box and make Robinson beat them through the air.  Mizzou needs to do what they do and challenge the Pokes to stop them.  Turnover Margin will be huge in this game and the pokes protect the ball a little better. 

 You heard it hear first.  Missouri is giving 13.5.  The Pig Pokers will cover.

 7:00 #4 LSU at #7 Florida CBS

This is an old fashioned SEC slobber knocker in the making.  LSU will make Tebow beat them through the air by shutting down the Gator run game.  Both D lines will spend quite a bit of time in the other team’s backfield.  The Gators have a lot better chance of getting it done through the air than the Tigers do.  LSU has a negative turnover margin so far this year and I expect that and home field advantage to be the difference maker.

 Florida is getting 4.  The Tigers become Gator bait and Florida covers.

Lock of the week

11:30 Colorado at Kansas

Kansas is giving 14 and since they let FSU score 30something at on them, I’m picking KU to cover.


Texas Fans, Take your hogs to get their dogs early because there will be lots of empty blue chairs in the second half.